0:00
/
0:00
Transcript

T&G Market Recap #104 🎙️ Powell Talks, Inflation Data Looms, & Markets React 👀

📢 Markets are cautious as Powell’s testimony reveals no urgency for rate cuts! With January CPI data dropping tomorrow, investors are holding their breath.

Our Daily Market Recap Podcast Is Sponsored By 📈 In Today’s Episode:

📉 Markets ended mixed today as investors tried to decode Powell’s testimony, Trump's latest tariff moves, and what tomorrow’s CPI report could bring. The Dow gained 0.3%, the S&P 500 barely moved, and the Nasdaq dipped 0.4% as traders braced for inflation data.

👉 If you missed today’s podcast episode, here’s your full breakdown of the biggest market stories and what they mean for you.

🚀 Market Recap: Cautious Trading Ahead of Key Data

📊 Major Index Performance:

  • Dow Jones (DJI) ⬆ 0.3%

  • S&P 500 (SPX) ⬆ 0.02%

  • Nasdaq Composite (IXIC) ⬇ 0.4%

🔥 Biggest Movers:
Intel (INTC) +6% – Trump administration pledges to prioritize US-made AI chips.
Gold Hits Record Highs – Investors seek safe-haven assets amid tariff uncertainty.
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) +3% (After Hours) – Swings wildly after earnings miss but confirms SEC filing deadline.

💀 Biggest Risks:
Tariffs Could Reignite Inflation – The Fed could delay rate cuts.
Tesla (TSLA) -5% – AI and EV competition from China ramps up.
Tech Under Pressure – Nasdaq weakens ahead of inflation data.

💡 Powell’s Testimony: Key Takeaways

🎤 What did Powell say?

  • No rush to cut rates. Powell reiterated that inflation remains slightly elevated, and the Fed is watching data closely before making any rate decisions.

  • Avoiding politics. Powell dodged trade policy discussions but acknowledged that tariffs could impact inflation and slow economic growth.

  • Housing stays expensive. Powell admitted that lower mortgage rates might not ease housing costs due to long-term supply issues.

📊 Market reaction:

  • Investors expected a neutral stance from Powell, so no major sell-off.

  • The real test comes tomorrow with the January CPI report.

📈 Inflation Data Incoming – What to Expect

📌 Wednesday’s CPI Report Predictions:

  • Headline CPI YoY: Expected at 2.9% (same as December).

  • Core CPI YoY (excludes food & energy): Expected at 3.1% (lowest since April 2021).

  • Monthly CPI: Expected at 0.3% (slight deceleration).

👉 Why it matters:

  • If CPI comes in hotter than expected, markets could sell off on fears that the Fed will hold rates higher for longer.

  • If CPI comes in cooler than expected, stocks might rally on hopes of sooner rate cuts.

🔥 Trump’s Tariff Moves – Market Impact

Trump just imposed 25% tariffs on all steel & aluminum imports, adding pressure to Canada & Mexico. More retaliatory tariffs are expected this week.

📌 Who Benefits?
Steel Stocks Soared: Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF), Nucor (NUE), US Steel (X) all jumped.
Gold & Commodities Rallying: Gold crossed $2,900/oz as a safe-haven play.

📌 Who Gets Hurt?
Auto & Manufacturing Companies – Higher steel prices raise costs for companies like Ford & GM.
Tech & Consumer Goods – Higher import costs could squeeze margins if tariffs extend to electronics.

🎧 Podcast Recap: What’s Next for Markets?

💬 Missed the episode? Here’s what we covered:
1️⃣ Powell says "no rush" to cut rates – but does the data agree?
2️⃣ Trump’s tariffs could boost inflation – will the Fed respond?
3️⃣ CPI expectations & market reaction – what happens tomorrow?
4️⃣ Gold surges, tech slides – where is Big Money moving?

🎙️ Catch the full episode here → [Podcast Link]

📌 Final Thoughts: Brace for Market Volatility

🔹 Short-Term: Tomorrow’s CPI data is a major market mover. If it’s hot, expect a tech sell-off and gold to push higher.
🔹 Long-Term: Tariffs + inflation risks could keep rate cuts delayed and market uncertainty high.

🔥 What’s your take? Will CPI surprise to the upside, or will inflation continue cooling? Drop a comment below! ⬇️

Discussion about this video