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The markets went absolutely ballistic today, shaking off fears of a government shutdown and rallying hard. But was it real conviction or just a massive trap set by big money?
Here’s what we saw:
🚀 Major Index Moves
S&P 500 (+2.13%) bounced back after dipping into correction territory. But remember, corrections don’t always stop at 10%!
Nasdaq (+2.61%) had its best day since November. Tech stocks finally stopped bleeding, with NVDA ripping +6%!
Dow Jones (+1.65%) recovered over 600 points after yesterday’s brutal sell-off.
🔥 What Drove The Rally?
Government Shutdown Fears Eased – Senate leadership backed down, reducing risk for now.
Tech Stocks Rebounded Hard – AI plays went full send with NVDA, AMZN, and AAPL leading the way.
Inflation Data Showed Some Cooling – But the details still aren’t Fed-friendly.
💰 Options Flow & Dark Pool Moves – What Institutions Are REALLY Doing
SPY saw $70M in put flow—Big money is still skeptical.
NVDA dominated call volume ($87M+ in bullish flow)—Funds betting on AI continuing to run.
VOO saw a jaw-dropping $3B in dark pool trades—Somebody is making a massive shift behind the scenes.
Tesla (TSLA) options flow was 76% bearish—Big traders are betting on more downside.
💀 The Dark Pool Moves Are A Warning
We saw huge prints on SPY and VOO. This kind of silent volume means big traders are repositioning, but we can’t yet tell whether they’re accumulating or distributing.
🚨 Key Takeaways
This rally looks strong on the surface, but under the hood, institutions are still hedging.
If this were a true bottom, we’d see bullish flow across the board. Instead, we’re seeing a mix of bullish AI bets and defensive hedging.
The next few days are critical. Watch to see if this momentum continues or fades.
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