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šØš§Liberation Day or Annihilation Day? Trump Hits Send. Markets Detonate.
Well, that escalated quickly.
The Dow just had its fifth-worst day in history, dropping 1,700 points like a rock tied to a cinder block. The Nasdaq got absolutely mugged, down 6%, and the S&P 500? Down nearly 5%. It was the kind of day that makes portfolio managers reconsider their careers ā or at least their life insurance.
So what caused this apocalyptic chart formation?
One word: Tariffs.
One man: Trump.
š„ āLiberation Dayā ā AKA: Economic Arson
Trump rolled out sweeping reciprocal tariffs on 185 countries, with baseline duties at 10%, and extra ābad actorā penalties taking it to 54% on China, 46% on Vietnam, and 34% on India. That's not a trade policy ā it's a declaration of financial war.
š Market Body Count
Apple lost over $300B in market cap ā worst day since March 2020
Nvidia and chip stocks crumbled
Retail wrecked: Best Buy -17%, Nike -14%, RH -40% (RH's CEO literally said āOh shitā on the call)
Oil -7%, Gold down, Copper tanked ā commodities bleeding across the board
Consumer staples (like frozen fries and cigarettes) were the only stocks with a pulse
Even Lamb Weston was up. Yes, the frozen potato king outperformed Apple. Welcome to 2025.
šµļøāāļø Follow the Money: What the Big Boys Did
š³ļø Dark Pools Got Loud
$SPY saw $537M blocks hit multiple times late in the day.
IVV and IWM moved billions in giant trades just as the selloff deepened.
Treasury ETF BIL saw $3.6B inflow. Translation? Institutions ran for cover like the building was on fire.
š„ Options Flow Was Screaming
$SPY, $QQQ were flooded with massive puts
Biggest? $540 SPY puts expiring April 17 ā 40,000 contracts worth $100M+
The $VIX smiled, retail cried
Call flow? Barely existed⦠unless you count $MSTR (crypto degens never die) and $GLD (gold bugs woke up)
š° Institutional Exodus
BoA bought $1.1T⦠and sold $1.76B
FMR, Vanguard, JPMorgan ā all reduced exposure
Norges Bank made no sells. Either brave, or lost the login to their Bloomberg terminal.
š§ The Big Picture
This wasnāt just āvolatility.ā
It was a macro reset.
Markets just got hit with a multi-front assault:
Tariffs ā recession risk
Global retaliation ā trade war
Supply chain panic ā tech bleed
Institutional outflows ā zero dip-buying interest
The Fed is now being begged for four rate cuts by year-end. Recession odds just jumped from āmaybeā to āMorgan Stanley is updating its apocalypse model.ā
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