📊 MARKET SNAPSHOT (June 2025 CPI)
Headline CPI: 🔺 0.3% MoM / +2.7% YoY
Core CPI (ex-food & energy): 🔺 0.2% MoM / +2.9% YoY
Shelter: 🔺 0.2% (primary driver)
Gasoline: 🔺 1.0% (energy index +0.9%)
Food: 🔺 0.3% (groceries +0.3% / restaurants +0.4%)
🔥 WHAT’S MOVING THE MARKET?
✅ Landlord Love Affair: Shelter costs continue their reign—rent, mortgage, tears.
✅ Energy U-Turn: After a May dip, gasoline and electricity crank up the heat.
✅ Groceries vs. Gourmet: Bakery down 0.2%—but eggs and coffee deliver a price punch.
✅ Tariff Tsunami: Furnishings, apparel & toys—imports carry a shock fee.
📈 TECHNICAL LEVELS TO WATCH
10-Yr Treasury Yield: 4.00–4.10% range—break above 4.15% = hawkish surge
S&P 500 Support: 4,450—bounces here fuel soft-landing bets
Nasdaq Resistance: 15,200—tech’s make-or-break zone
🚀 ACTIONABLE TAKEAWAYS
Tech & Growth: If tariffs ease and shelter cools, buy the dip in $NVDA & $AAPL.
Financials: With yields flirting near 4.10%, trim into $JPM or $GS rally.
Defensives: Staples & utilities (think $WMT, $DUK) as safe harbors if volatility spikes.
Energy Plays: Consider short-dated calls on $XOM / $CVX—energy prices are back in play.
Options Strategy: Sell in-line straddles on XLF (financials) or buy tail hedges on QQQ puts.
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