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$2.5 Trillion Wipeout: Wall Street Braces for Tariff Fallout šŸ˜±šŸ“‰

Trump lit the fuse, China threw gasoline, and Powell just stood there sweating in his purple tie.

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šŸšØšŸ“ˆ

šŸ’£ The Week That Blew Everything Up

  • The Dow dropped 3,300 points for the week.

  • The Nasdaq entered a bear market (-10%+), and the S&P 500 clocked its worst week since COVID.

  • The trigger? Trump’s ā€˜Liberation Day’ tariffs:

    • Blanket 10% on all imports

    • +34% extra on China

    • China responded with a matching 34% tariff on all US goods starting April 10.

This isn’t just tit-for-tat. This is full-blown global trade war 2.0.

šŸ“‰ Sector Bloodbath

  • Tech nuked:

    • TSLA: -11%

    • NVDA: -8%

    • AMZN: -4.15%

  • Oil down 8%, thanks to tariffs + surprise OPEC+ production ramp

  • Retail & discretionary? Toasted.

  • IPO market froze: StubHub, Klarna, eToro all delayed.

Risk assets? Dead on arrival.

šŸ’¼ Powell’s in a Blender

  • The March jobs report? Great: +228K jobs.

  • But unemployment rose to 4.2%.

  • Powell finally blinked: admitted tariffs could trigger persistent inflation.

  • The market’s now pricing in 5 rate cuts for 2025 as growth fears take the wheel.

šŸƒā€ā™‚ļø Where’s the Smart Money Going?

šŸ’ø Dark Pool Prints:

  • SPY: $900M+ in block trades clustered at $505–$508

  • IWM: $230M at $102–$104

šŸ“‰ Options Flow:

  • SPY: $867M total, with $808M in puts 😬

  • IWM: $292M flow, almost entirely bearish

  • NVDA, QQQ, PLTR, TSLA—all getting smoked with big-money put plays

  • Even META, AAPL saw defensive spreads

šŸ›Ÿ Rotation Plays:

  • TLT (long bonds): $43.6M in bullish flows

  • GLD: $32M into gold

  • HYG: $36M in put protection

Translation: Institutions are hedging hard and buying safety.

šŸ“… What’s Coming This Week (04/07–04/12)

🧨 This is make-or-break week for sentiment.

Monday: Chill… for now. No big releases.
Tuesday: NFIB Small Biz sentiment
Wednesday: FOMC minutes + Delta & STZ earnings
Thursday: CPI drops — Street expects +2.6% YoY. A miss here? Another leg down.
Friday: Mega bank earnings šŸ¦ (JPM, WFC, MS, BLK)

šŸ‘€ Wildcard risk: Europe hasn’t retaliated yet. Don’t think they won’t.

šŸ’„ Final Take

Last week was not just another sell-off. This was a fundamental shift. Global trade is breaking. The Fed is cornered. Institutions are heading for the exits.

The ā€˜buy the dip’ crowd? Might want to sit this one out.

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