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šØšš£ The Week That Blew Everything Up
The Dow dropped 3,300 points for the week.
The Nasdaq entered a bear market (-10%+), and the S&P 500 clocked its worst week since COVID.
The trigger? Trumpās āLiberation Dayā tariffs:
Blanket 10% on all imports
+34% extra on China
China responded with a matching 34% tariff on all US goods starting April 10.
This isnāt just tit-for-tat. This is full-blown global trade war 2.0.
š Sector Bloodbath
Tech nuked:
TSLA: -11%
NVDA: -8%
AMZN: -4.15%
Oil down 8%, thanks to tariffs + surprise OPEC+ production ramp
Retail & discretionary? Toasted.
IPO market froze: StubHub, Klarna, eToro all delayed.
Risk assets? Dead on arrival.
š¼ Powellās in a Blender
The March jobs report? Great: +228K jobs.
But unemployment rose to 4.2%.
Powell finally blinked: admitted tariffs could trigger persistent inflation.
The marketās now pricing in 5 rate cuts for 2025 as growth fears take the wheel.
šāāļø Whereās the Smart Money Going?
šø Dark Pool Prints:
SPY: $900M+ in block trades clustered at $505ā$508
IWM: $230M at $102ā$104
š Options Flow:
SPY: $867M total, with $808M in puts š¬
IWM: $292M flow, almost entirely bearish
NVDA, QQQ, PLTR, TSLAāall getting smoked with big-money put plays
Even META, AAPL saw defensive spreads
š Rotation Plays:
TLT (long bonds): $43.6M in bullish flows
GLD: $32M into gold
HYG: $36M in put protection
Translation: Institutions are hedging hard and buying safety.
š
Whatās Coming This Week (04/07ā04/12)
š§Ø This is make-or-break week for sentiment.
Monday: Chill⦠for now. No big releases.
Tuesday: NFIB Small Biz sentiment
Wednesday: FOMC minutes + Delta & STZ earnings
Thursday: CPI drops ā Street expects +2.6% YoY. A miss here? Another leg down.
Friday: Mega bank earnings š¦ (JPM, WFC, MS, BLK)
š Wildcard risk: Europe hasnāt retaliated yet. Donāt think they wonāt.
š„ Final Take
Last week was not just another sell-off. This was a fundamental shift. Global trade is breaking. The Fed is cornered. Institutions are heading for the exits.
The ābuy the dipā crowd? Might want to sit this one out.
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